Betting favorite? Conor or tony?

Druken_Vovchanchyn

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how would Vegas have this line?? I am really struggling with this. I’m a realest so most conor fan boys on here hate me...

That said,I think he beats tony.Styles make fights and tony has just been too hittable. He’s been dropped by lesser punchers and I think conor knocks him out inside 2 rounds.I’d love for tony to be favored in this fight.

What do you think sherbros
 
I think the betting line would favor Conor.
 
I think they'll make the favorite Tony

It'll be like the Aldo odds though. Super super close. Conor looked like shit vs Khabib and Tony was an animal against Pettis

1 fight losing streak vs 11 fight winning streak = Ferguson favorite

Conor Mirror.PNG

Still my boy though, Conor would win that fight imo
 
I have no idea the Odds are always all over the place. How Jones wasn't a bigger favorite over Anthony smith is beyond me... I think Valentina was a bigger favorite over one of her opponents recently than Jones was over Smith. Also Bektic being -700 against Elkins still makes zero sense to me.
 
Conor would probably be the favourite but Tony would most likely sub Conor in the 3rd or 4th.
 
Probably Conor, prior to Tony's incident..slight edge to Tony.

Conor would be a sick value bet honestly.

Nate's a tougher style opponent than Tony is for Conor, particularly at 170 pounds.
 
Tony Is Hittable But His Recovery Is Fantastic
Ferguson By Elbows From Hell
Champ Shit Only
 
Ferguson too gritty for McMouthpiece.......combine that with his insanity and I don't see how he loses.

He's one of the worst possible matchups for Colin imo.
 
conor wins easy. he would use tony's WHERE YOUR KID line against him and tony would be mentally wrecked. 12 second KO conor bless

MCGOAT
conor-mcgegor-gq-01.jpg
 
I think they'll make the favorite Tony

It'll be like the Aldo odds though. Super super close. Conor looked like shit vs Khabib and Tony was an animal against Pettis

1 fight losing streak vs 11 fight winning streak = Ferguson favorite

View attachment 553019

Still my boy though, Conor would win that fight imo
The meltdown on Sherdog would be glorious
 
how would Vegas have this line?? I am really struggling with this. I’m a realest so most conor fan boys on here hate me...

That said,I think he beats tony.Styles make fights and tony has just been too hittable. He’s been dropped by lesser punchers and I think conor knocks him out inside 2 rounds.I’d love for tony to be favored in this fight.

What do you think sherbros
Before these recent events with tony I’d think Vegas would’ve had him as slight favorite.

Now with all the drama I imagine it would be something like

Conor -150
Ferg +125
 
I feel the same way, but i wouldnt sleep on Ferg's unpredictable sub game and the possibility that some of the knockdowns might be exaggerated

Also, Conor's not a big guy and he gets rocked. His frame isnt big at all for a LW

I havent studied it yet, but it feels coinflippy like Conor/Nate 1

Ferg would probably be the betting favorite since he's on an 11 fight streak and Pettis's stock just rose
 
Tony would stop him, probably round 2-3 after Conor breaks.
 
Conor will be the clear betting favorite. Because Vegas/bookmakers only set the baseline odds, the rest is shifted by the actual betters. The more people bet on one of the fighters, the more odds shift on his favor. And there is good reason for that. Bookmakers try to minimize risk. If one of the fighters is the slight underdog and most people bet on him, in the event he wins - bookmakers will lose a lot money. That's why the odds are being shifted dynamically so they are balanced. And this way whoever wins - the house always profits.

So basically Conor-Tony should open at 1.90 to 1.90, since it's 50:50 fight (in my opinion). Since Conor is way more popular and Tony is somewhat obscure to the super casual fight fan, most people will bet on him. The more people will bet on him, the most his coefficient will drop - to around 1.60 probably to 2.20 Tony. And this way if newer casuals decide to bet, they'll see Conor as the favorite and would think - "Oh, yeah, it's obvious, let's put some money on him", shifting the odds even further on his behalf. But that doesn't mean bookmakers didn't believe it's 50:50 fight in the beginning.

P.S. If Tyron Woodley was like 10% as popular as Conor, he would have been the clear betting favorite vs. Usman. But since hardcore MMA fans know who Woodley is and who Usman is, the odds for this fight better reflected the reality. For stars like Conor odds don't reflect reality even one bit. That's why he wasn't as huge underdog versus Mayweather as he should have been.
 
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